Monday, March 3, 2008

The McCain-Obama Race: Trending in the Right Direction

A strange note - the state polls that we see with Obama v. McCain don't seem to mesh with the national polls.

On state polls, we get Obama and McCain tied, or within a few points of eachother. But then we get all of these polls with McCain leading in New Jersey, close in New York, etc.

I'm not sure what to make of that, yet. Though, my gut feeling - beyond simply hope here - is that the state polls probably don't have the funny weighting games going on that the national ones do.

It's notable that Rasmussen, the only ones running a tracking poll, have McCain opening up a five point lead on Obama now.

Like here are some recent state numbers:

New Jersey:
McCain: 45
Obama: 43

McCain: 47
Obama: 37

McCain: 49
Obama: 38

New Jersey:
McCain: 38
Obama: 43

McCain: 50
Obama: 36

McCain: 40
Obama: 42

The trend is very promising for McCain.


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