Though I haven't seen it yet, I've been pulling for "Walk the Line" for Best Picture next year - but I'm fairly sure that it won't win. But, for a long time, I've been predicting that the winner will be Ang Lee's "Brokeback Mountain" which Drudge is now suggesting.

It's easy to predict - it's why I knew that "Million Dollar Baby" would win last year, even though it was a mediocre film (and faced the far-superior "Aviator"). You can typically guess who's going to win if there's a movie with some sort of socially liberal message.