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Thursday, September 30, 2004
Oh Canada
Sub has no torpedoes
By By JEFFREY SIMPSON / Staff Reporter The Halifax Chronicle Herald HMCS Windsor will be without torpedoes until 2006, a high-ranking Canadian naval officer says. "That's probably right," Capt. Dean McFadden, who commands Atlantic operations, told reporters on board the submarine as it conducted exercises off the coast of Nova Scotia. The Halifax-based submarine, which was originally supposed to be ready for operations in July 2001, began a year of testing last spring. While the sub is not yet armed with torpedoes, which will be its only external weapons, it has embarked on several official missions. Bush Won
As has been pointed out at length over recent days, the final verdict on any debate takes two or three days to be rendered. But let me try and pre-empt that now: Bush won not only the debate but, in all probability, the election in Miami tonight. Senator Kerry stood up well but, once more, he didn’t say anything. In fact, coming out of the debate, I’m less clear as to what Kerry actually thinks about Iraq and the broader War on Terrorism than I was before I went in.
Kerry’s managed to “win”, at least in the initial post-debate spin, simply because he’s a better speaker than the President. But no one has yet considered the implications of what the man said during the debate, but merely how prettily he said it. If he’s to be believed (which is an open question) Kerry’s foreign policy ideas are potentially the most ruinous proposed by any Presidential candidate since George McGovern in 1972. Senator Kerry proposes an American foreign policy that is consistent only in that it dovetails exactly with the stuff prescribed by the global elites. Kerry’s “plan” for Iraq is simply a fantasy. He’s going to “call a summit”: and do what? Is the man so deluded to think that foreign nations are going to deploy their troops to Iraq simply at his beck and call? Because, if you take out the part about the foreign nations, Senator Kerry doesn’t really have a plan. I’m convinced that, if elected President, Senator Kerry will manage to buy as many African and Asian UN Blue-Helmets as he can and then he’ll flee Iraq at a greater-than-deliberate speed. His constant repeating of his bizarre non-plan to have the French, Germans and unidentified “Arab” nations step to the rescue (Jordan doesn’t have an Army, so who is he going to ask: Syria? Saudi Arabia?) simply reinforces the idea that he doesn’t have a plan to do anything more than sound minimally competent enough to get elected. Kerry also made a number of fundamental mistakes of fact when speaking about the war and foreign policy which, I think, the Bush campaign would be wise to mercilessly pound upon. First, during the third question, Senator Kerry said that, “The president moved the troops, so he's got 10 times the number of troops in Iraq than he has in Afghanistan, where Osama bin Laden is.” This is a potentially huge error, perhaps even a “there is no Soviet domination of Poland” level error. I don’t think that anyone in the know thinks that Osama Bin Laden, even if his is alive, is in Afghanistan. Even CNN’s reporter pointed this fact out immediately after the end of the debate. If Senator Kerry wants to hammer Bush for getting Osama Bin Laden, he’d damn well better, at the very least, remember which country he’s in. And this also, of course, wasn’t a slip of the tongue: it was the center of his entire argument on the matter, namely that Bush has, “got 10 times the number of troops in Iraq than he has in Afghanistan, where Osama bin Laden is.” Except he’s not there, Senator. The second mistake, again, exposes a fundamental error of policy and reality on Senator Kerry’s part and it deserves some real examination. It deserves extensive quotation: “With respect to North Korea, the real story: We had inspectors and television cameras in the nuclear reactor in North Korea. Secretary Bill Perry negotiated that under President Clinton. And we knew where the fuel rods were. And we knew the limits on their nuclear power… While they didn't talk at all, the fuel rods came out, the inspectors were kicked out, the television cameras were kicked out. And today, there are four to seven nuclear weapons in the hands of North Korea.” Senator Kerry misses entirely, and presumably his entire national security team misses, the significance of the point that President Bush then raised next when he said, “the breach on the agreement was not through plutonium. The breach on the agreement is highly enriched uranium.” That bears repeating: Senator Kerry either didn’t know, or hoped the public wouldn’t know, the difference between the two and the mechanics of how North Korea developed its nuclear weapons. What happened is this: in 1994 the Clinton Administration, with more than a little help from former President Jimmy Carter, did exactly what Kerry would now have the United States do: they sat down for bilateral talks with the North Koreans and hammered out a deal. As part of that deal, the North Koreans offered seemingly extensive inspection options to prove that they weren’t going to go on developing nuclear weapons. After all, having cameras on there, inspectors, and everything else sounds like a fairly secure arrangement: but they found an entirely different way of developing the weapons they wanted and they did so while receiving extensive American aid. It bears repeating, because Senator Kerry’s windy response has hidden within it his real plan for the North Koreans, “I want bilateral talks which put all of the issues, from the armistice of 1952, the economic issues, the human rights issues, the artillery disposal issues, the DMZ issues and the nuclear issues on the table.” Read that closely again. “The economic issues.” What economic issues? Think about it. Does he mean that North Korea wants to sign a free trade agreement with the United States? Of course not: he means that he plans to follow the Clinton approach of bribing, appeasing, and kicking the problem down the road. The third issue comes back to the nuclear matters again. This time to Iran. Once more he repeated his absurd plan to have the United States provide “nuclear fuel” to Iran. To describe this as an insane idea would be a very mild way of putting it. It’s broadly comparable to giving an enraged spree-killer an AK-47 in an attempt to discover if they can be trusted with automatic weapons. Naturally the Kerry campaign says that they’ll have inspections and close controls over the “nuclear fuel” that they plan to give Iran. Yeah and how well did all of those safeguards work out with North Korea? If the nation wants a President who can deliver lies in a convincing voice, they’ll vote for Kerry. If they want a man with a clear vision, steady resolve, and a real plan to win the War on Terrorism, they’ll vote for President Bush. Kerry’s Nuclear Danger
In a little-mentioned period of his life, John Forbes Kerry served the Lieutenant Governor of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts under a fellow named Michael Dukakis. During that time, in 1984, he drew up an Executive Order, which Governor Dukakis signed, that promised, “No funds shall be expended by the Commonwealth for crisis relocation planning for nuclear war.” To put it more plainly, Kerry’s order said, in essence, that the state would refuse to cooperate with efforts to evacuate people to safety in the event of a conflict between the United States and Soviet Union.
Some may laugh at the idea of “Crisis Relocation Planning” with regard to a nuclear conflict. After all, we’ve all been taught in school that nuclear war is “unwinnable” and that, if it were to ever occur, the world would be destroyed by so-called “Nuclear Winter.” However, I’ll tell you who didn’t and doesn’t laugh at the idea: the Federal Emergency Management Agency. According to FEMA estimates in the 1980’s, the evacuation of cities and other urban areas in the event of a nuclear war would have saved the lives of between eight and twelve percent of the US population or, in other words, somewhere between twenty and thirty million people at that time. Civil Defense planners believed that a successful evacuation of US cities prior to a nuclear conflict would mean the difference between a war with ten million US and a war with forty million or more dead. Moreover, in the absence of an organized evacuation, long-term casualties would be much higher since, under an orderly government-organized and planned evacuation, people with skills urgently needed in the post-attack recovery phase would receive first priority for evacuation and shelter. Certainly, in my view, then-Lieutenant Governor Kerry must have known these things at the time. Yet he pushed his order anyways. Why? One conclusion is this: Kerry was then running for the Senate as the uber-peacenik candidate and he was willing to potential sacrifice the lives of a few million people in his state in order to advance that ambition. The second, equally plausible, conclusion is even more ominous: that he fully knew the dangers of the policies he proposed but choose to ignore them because they served his larger policy goal, namely that of forcing unilateral nuclear disarmament upon the United States. Or, perhaps, it was a little of each. John Kerry, of course, was a leader within the “nuclear freeze” movement. This group advocated that the United States should, in the face of a continuing Soviet threat, unilaterally stop production of nuclear weapons in the hope that the Soviet Union would do the same. In other words, in the vain hope of gaining concessions from a determined foe, Senator Kerry was willing for the United States to give up its primary means of defense. During his race for the Senate in 1984, Kerry managed (after changing one of his answers) to get a 100% score from a group calling itself “Freeze Voter ’84”. This endorsement, among other things, helped to propel him past liberal Congressman James Shannon in the Democratic primaries. While I lack a copy of the questionnaire that earned him that rating, I’m sure it makes interesting reading. Someone should ask Senator Kerry if he stands by his positions today because, I put it to you ladies and gentlemen, that someone capable of getting 100% from a peacenik anti-nuclear group in Massachusetts is someone incapable of leading the United States in wartime. Where does Senator Kerry stand on the great nuclear issues or our day? He’s against the development of a new generation of low-yield, ground-penetrating nuclear weapons designed to destroy enemy WMD facilities buried deep under the Earth. He voted for a National Missile Defense system, but now he says that he wants cut funding for it. He says this even as Iran races towards both advanced ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons while North Korea apparently has both. Another question whose answer we do not have, but must know is this: would Senator Kerry order the use of nuclear weapons against a nation which attacked or assisted in an attack upon the United States using nuclear or biological weapons? If not, how would he respond to such an attack? By all appearances John Kerry, if elected President, plans to attempt to trust our present-day enemies just as he once called upon the nation to trust that the Soviet Union would react peaceably to moves towards unilateral disarmament upon the United States. He’s willing to put his faith in our enemies instead of our arms. He says that he’s going to give Iran “nuclear fuel” on the condition that they use it only for peaceful purposes. He says that he’s going to directly negotiate with the North Koreans, even though the North Koreans used the cover of the last agreement we signed with them to develop their present nuclear arsenal. If, as it seems, Senator Kerry is incapable of dealing with the issue of nuclear weapons in any sense other than a political one then, truly, he is unfit to be the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces. A man who once sought to deny Americans the shelter that may have saved their lives in a nuclear war is not the man to lead America today. A man who trusts our enemies more than he trusts our people cannot be trusted to effectively lead and defend our people in a time of war. Sunday, September 26, 2004
But is it true?
On Saturday the New York Times sniffed that it was “un-American” to “paint the Democratic candidate as a friend to terrorism.” The Times editorial board, that august organ of mainstream opinion, didn’t feel it worth their time, however, to examine the core question: which candidate would the terrorists prefer?
I must admit a bias in the issue, seeing as I’m the proud owner of a “ten out of ten terrorists are for Anybody but Bush” button and bumper sticker (I stopped wearing the button after several people, in a truly alarming development, interpreted it as an anti-Bush attack). However, the essential question remains unanswered: which candidate would the terrorists rather see in the White House come January 2005? Let’s start by looking at the latest anti-Bush meme floating about, this idea that the President has been the “best recruiting tool that the terrorists ever had”. This, in my opinion, is patent nonsense. But before we get to that, we need to ask a more fundamental question: what are the strategic goals of the terrorists? Or, more briefly: what do they want? Broadly, the strategic goals of Islamism are something like the following: 1) Destroy the State of Israel. 2) Force the United States to withdraw its forces from the Middle East and abandon all interventions in the Moslem world. 3) Impose a “pure” form of Islamic law upon nations within the Moslem world. 4) Reclaim the “lost territories” of Islam (in addition to Israel, this would cover chunks of Europe as well as disputed zones such as Chechnya and Kashmir). The question then becomes: are the Islamists any closer to achieving any of these goals than they were four years ago? Have more than three years of intense fighting moved their cause any closer to its objectives? Do four more years of George W. Bush in the White House appear likely to assist them in any of these things? We must answer all of these questions with an emphatic “no.” Israel has, through a tough campaign led by the gallant Ariel Sharon, truly crushed Hamas and managed to mostly stem the tide of terrorism. The so-called “Second Intifada” has clearly been defeated. Terrorists may still kill Israelis, but the chances of a pro-Palestinian settlement have declined dramatically in the last four years. The United States is far less likely to be forced to disengage from the Islamic world (so long as Bush remains President) than it was four years ago. US forces have engaged the terrorists on their home soil and won repeatedly. Nations such as Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Libya have all been forced to move in a much more pro-American direction. Four years ago Saudi Arabia was paying off al-Qaeda as part of a protection arrangement, now they’re fighting and killing them. Pakistan was assisting the Taliban and al-Qaeda, now they’re hunting them. Libya was working to acquire weapons of mass destruction, now they’ve given them up and exposed what one expert called the “Wal Mart of nuclear proliferation”, setting back the efforts of terrorist and terrorists states to acquire nukes by years. The news on the third count is largely positive as well. Afghanistan, which four years ago was the most extreme Islamist state in the world, is about to hold the first free elections in its history. Iraq, a nation with a long history of repression, aggression, and the sponsorship of terror, is going to go to the polls in January. There are anti-regime protests in Iran almost daily. Even states such as Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait are taking steps towards democratic reform. History will not allow any government to turn its back on these things. Women, once freed, will not again willingly submit to slavery. Anyone who thinks that free Iraqi women would now submit to live in an Islamist state is deluding themselves. Once the genesis of freedom has taken place in any part of the world it can only be undone by truly great efforts. As to the final matter, the news there is even worse for the Islamists. In virtually every perimeter battle along the frontiers of Islam the last three years have brought ill tidings. Not only have the terrorists been turned back in Israel, but India has also been successful in turning the tide along its borders with Pakistan as well. Worse still (for the Islamists), the savagery with which their forces have behaved in the Chechen conflict has ensured that their dream of an Islamic state to be torn away from Russia will never come to pass. In short: the Islamists are losing this war. They’re getting more attention now, but that’s simply because their atrocities are increasing in brutality. Let’s look at the tactics adopted by the Islamists in Iraq and elsewhere in recent months. They’ve slaughtered schoolchildren for no good reason at Beslan. And, in Iraq, they’ve taken to kidnapping civilians and beheading them on camera. Tell me this: are these the actions of people who are winning or gaining in a war? Are these actions which are likely to bring recruits to the cause? If you’re going to seriously argue to me that the Middle East is full of people who are going to look at what happened at Beslan and say to themselves, en masse, “I want to get in on that”, I’m going to have to seriously argue that it’s time to nuke the entire Middle East from one end to the other. Thankfully, I have a little more faith in the people on the region than others do. In truth, there’s exactly zero evidence to back up the contention that the President has helped the terrorists in their recruiting efforts. Assertions that he has are, to say the least, counterintuitive. Four years ago, when al-Qaeda was becoming increasingly venerated across the Islamic world, had the support from both Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, and when the only risk was an occasional cruise missile attack, I can imagine any number of young Moslems being attracted to the romance of Osama Bin Laden’s cause. Four years later, with al-Qaeda members being hunted like dogs all over the world, the organization starved for cash and its members driven to ever increasing acts of horror to attempt to get their point across, it’s far-fetched to think that people are going to look at the situation and say, “I want to sign on for that.” So the question becomes this: what is there to recommend Kerry to the terrorists over Bush? The answer: lots. The most obvious thing is this: far more than Bush, Kerry is likely to cut and run in Iraq. Frankly, having watched his public statements on the issue, I suspect that to do exactly that has been his plan all along. Even if it isn’t, it hardly takes a genius to figure out that Kerry is the candidate whose background suggests that he’d be open to such a move. Under George W. Bush, US forces have relentlessly closed upon the terrorists and gone about the hard work of killing them. We get a constant stream of reports about dead or captured al-Qaeda functionaries and, while we lack a hard count, I don’t think anyone can dispute that the toll of the dead among the terrorists in the past three years runs into the thousands and perhaps the tens of thousands. Does anyone think that John Kerry would pursue the terrorists that aggressively? Or do you think, as I do, that a President Kerry would constantly be looking for agreement and consent from foreign powers and that he’d be far more inclined than President Bush to listen to the whining of his lawyers, diplomats, and the other assorted people who, for reasons that are their own, tend to get in the way of killing people. Now, if you’ve got some bizarre moral objection to the death of terrorists, then Kerry may well be your guy. However, I don’t think that any serious person can assert with a straight face that al-Qaeda fears a UN Security Council Resolution more than it does an American cluster bomb. Only a fool or a liar (to repeat myself: a Democrat) would claim that al-Qaeda fears John Kerry more than it fears George W. Bush. A Kerry Presidency would mean increased prestige for al-Qaeda (who would be widely seen as having “beaten” President Bush) and such a perception would certainly drive more people to al-Qaeda (people flee a losing cause and rally to a winning one). Most of all, we have the actions of the terrorists to show us just who they prefer. If they really thought, as so many try to claim, that the war is driving support to them, then why do they keep trying to unseat pro-war governments? Why is the core of al-Qaeda’s strategic planning today seemingly to defeat its opponents in the voting booths? If al-Qaeda really thought that the war was such a great boon to its recruiting, wouldn’t it be staging attacks in non-combatant countries to try to draw them into the war instead of launching attacks against America’s allies to drive them out of the war? So the question then becomes, is it somehow unfair or “un-American” to point any of this out? If one candidate’s policies are obviously favourable to an outside group when compared to the policies of his opponent, why shouldn’t this be pointed out? The only reason I can think of is because the New York Times has, by fiat, declared the subject to be off limits. However, I put it to you that in election season which has descended to the level of having a major liberal organization launch a serious effort to blame the President for hurricanes, pretty much nothing ought to be off limits. Friday, September 24, 2004
An Absurd Editorial in the NYT
This New York Times editorial is remarkably stupid, even for the New York Times.
This is despicable politics. It's not just polarizing - it also undermines the efforts of the Justice Department and the Central Intelligence Agency to combat terrorists in America. Every time a member of the Bush administration suggests that Islamic extremists want to stage an attack before the election to sway the results in November, it causes patriotic Americans who do not intend to vote for the president to wonder whether the entire antiterrorism effort has been kidnapped and turned into part of the Bush re-election campaign. And Islamic extremists didn't disrupt both the Spanish and Australian elections with terrorist attacks, right? Yah-huh. The people running the government clearly regard keeping Mr. Bush in office as more important than maintaining a united front on the most important threat to the nation. Since when has there been a "united front" against terrorism? Mr. Bush has not disassociated himself from any of this, and in his own campaign speeches he makes an argument that is equally divisive and undemocratic. The president has claimed, over and over, that criticism of the way his administration has conducted the war in Iraq and news stories that suggest the war is not going well endanger American troops and give aid and comfort to the enemy. This week, in his Rose Garden press conference with the interim Prime Minister Ayad Allawi, Mr. Bush was asked about Mr. Kerry's increasingly pointed remarks on Iraq. "You can embolden an enemy by sending mixed messages," he said, going on to suggest that Mr. Kerry's criticisms dispirit the Iraqi people and American soldiers. And then Kerry did his democratic duty by trying to undermine the Prime Minister of Iraq. The general instinct of Americans is to play fair. That is why, even though terrorists struck the United States during President Bush's watch, the Democrats have not run a campaign that blames him for allowing the World Trade Center and the Pentagon to be attacked. I can't wait to see the Times tear into Michael Moore. Tuesday, September 21, 2004
A Death Blow to the Kerry Campaign
I think that many people who have seen the sixth ad being put out by the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth will agree with me when say that the ad, entitled “Friends” had the potential to do as much damage to the Kerry campaign as the entire Rathergate/Danron fiasco. Don’t believe me? Watch the ad yourself. And, in case you can’t see it, here’s a transcript.
The beauty of this ad is that it is simple, verifiably true, and utterly devastating. We know that John Kerry met with the Vietnamese Communists because he admitted it to us. We know that, as American boys fought and died in the muck of Vietnam, John Kerry sat with their perfumed diplomats in Europe and conspired to hand victory in the war to the Communists. We know this to be true. We know it because John Kerry told it to us. Let me quote him exactly, because it’s important to get this right. Kerry said, “I have been to Paris. I have talked with both delegations at the peace talks, that is to say the Democratic Republic of Vietnam and the Provisional Revolutionary Government.” His words, ladies and gentlemen. While the United States was at war, John Kerry went to Paris and spoke with the enemies of the Republic. People say that what happened thirty-plus years ago doesn’t matter, shouldn’t matter in this campaign. Perhaps, in most cases, that should be true. But in this case it certainly does matter. Does any sane person really believe that whether or not George W. Bush showed up for a week’s worth of drills in Alabama thirty-three years ago is somehow more consequential than the admitted fact that Senator Kerry, as a nearly thirty year-old politician, travelled to a foreign nation to meet with the enemies of this country while the nation was at war and then returned in order to advocate that the United States accept peace on the terms of the communist Vietnamese (or, in other words, surrender)? If this gets out (and since the Swift Vets are reportedly set to spend $2 million running this ad, it will) how does the Kerry campaign respond to it in a credible fashion? In essence, they’re left with a handful of options, all of them bad. They can ignore the accusations altogether, but I don’t think they’ll try that one again, seeing as it worked so well with the first Swift Vet assault. Attempting to deflect attention by attacking Bush on his National Guard service is out now since, thanks to CBS (and probably the DNC too), pretty much anything to do with Bush’s guard service is going to be radioactive for the rest of the campaign. Perhaps they can trot Senator Kerry out to, in the mother of all flip-flops, apologize for some of his anti-war activism. Alternately, they can act outraged that anyone would, “question Senator Kerry’s patriotism.” This, in all probability, is the course that they’ll take in the coming days. And they’ll be right: it is an attack on Senator Kerry’s patriotism. But, much more importantly than that, it is an accurate attack on his patriotism. Worse still (for Kerry’s dwindling legions) is that it feeds into perceptions of how Senator Kerry would behave as President. The most obvious point that must be taken from his claims as to Vietnamese intentions at the time is that either Kerry is a liar or he is an extremely gullible man (or perhaps both). Also in his Senate testimony in 1971, John Kerry told the American people that, at the most, the lives of perhaps two thousand to three thousand South Vietnamese would be at risk if the United States withdrew from Vietnam. As we would later see, the numbers would be substantially higher. This, of course, was not a surprise to anyone with a lick of common sense. He entire world had already seen the crimes of communism in Russia, in Eastern Europe, in China and, indeed, in North Vietnam. Only a very easily deceived person could have believed that the pattern would not repeat the moment the Vietnamese Communists gripped the South within their claws. Even worse, this wasn’t the only time that Senator Kerry allowed himself to be deceived by foreign enemies of the United States, nor was it the only time that Kerry was used to deliver the demands of an enemy of the United States to the American government and people. In 1985, the newly-elected Senator Kerry took a trip to Nicaragua, where he met with the communist dictator of that country. When he returned to the United States from that trip, the Senator had brought something with him: the Sandinistas’ offer for peace with the United States. Once more John Forbes Kerry voluntarily conveyed the demands of a hostile foreign power to his own government. Yet again John Kerry called upon the President of the United States to accept, in whole, the terms offered by an enemy of the Republic. Once the American people know this history, once they’ve taken it all in, they’ll be left with the same frightful question that I’ve carried with me for nine months: what happens if the person receiving that offer is no longer Lieutenant Kerry or Senator Kerry, but President Kerry? What happens if there’s no one higher on up for Kerry to call upon to accept the enemy’s terms: what if Kerry himself is in a position to accept the enemy’s terms? This is significant because the John Kerry of 2004 shows every sign of being every bit as gullible as the John Kerry of 1985 and the John Kerry of 1971. He’s claimed that foreign leaders are eager to see him become President. I’ll bet they are. All of this takes on even greater importance since Kerry proposes to, as President, base his entire foreign policy upon seeking negotiated solutions to the world’s problems and since Senator Kerry apparently believes that “negotiating” means “accepting uncritically whatever those sophisticated foreigners tell me” this means that a President Kerry would almost certainly have a foreign policy revolving around the calculated sale of America’s national interest. Kerry pretends to talk tough on North Korea, but then he says things like, “We must be prepared to negotiate a comprehensive agreement that addresses the full range of… North Korea's concerns about security and economic development.” It doesn’t take a genius to figure out what Senator Kerry really means. When he accuses the Bush Administration of “not paying enough attention” to North Korea he really means, “Being insufficiently slavish in appeasing Kim Jong Il.” The same is true on Iran. Senator Kerry talks about getting tough, and yet his core proposal for dealing with Iran’s nuclear ambitions involves giving nuclear fuel to the Ayatollahs. No, I didn’t make that up. Here’s Senator Kerry himself, “We should call their bluff, and organize a group of states that will offer the nuclear fuel they need for peaceful purposes and take back the spent fuel so they can’t divert it to build a weapon.” He’s so trusting (or stupid) that he’s almost cute. But, in truth, there’s nothing cute about the fact that virtually every time that Senator Kerry has dealt with an enemy of the United States (or offered a proposal for dealing with an enemy) in the field of diplomacy, his response has been to become an advocate of proposals favourable to that enemy. In 1971, John Kerry wanted the US to unilaterally begin withdrawing from Vietnam and trust the North Vietnamese Communists to return US POW’s of their own volition. In 2004, John Kerry wants to give “nuclear fuel” to Iran and trust that they won’t do anything bad with it, won’t divert any portion of it, and will give it all back just as they’re supposed to. John Kerry may trust the enemies of America but the American people just can’t trust John Kerry. The Democratic National Committee and the CBS Memos
From CNN's Late Edition this Sunday:
GILLESPIE: You know, the only two people, I think, left in America today who are standing by the CBS report are Terry McAuliffe and Dan Rather. MCAULIFFE: I'm not standing by the report. GILLESPIE: Terry, you've still got it up in the on your Web site, don't you? Yes, you do. MCAULIFFE: I don't stand by the CBS report. GILLESPIE: Well, then why do you have it on your Web site? MCAULIFFE: I have nothing to do with the CBS -- call Dan Rather up. I'll give you a quarter. GILLESPIE: Why do you have it on your Web site? MCAULIFFE: I've got my own evidence. GILLESPIE: Nothing Terry -- if I might, Terry. You just went on for a while, and I allowed you to. The fact is that nothing that has come forward since Terry first made this rash accusation on this program about eight months ago has changed. The president served honorably. He got his points. He was honorably discharged.And now Terry, after spending about 3 1/2 minutes talking about the Guard service, as he's been doing all week, now says, oh, but we don't want to talk about 35 years ago. The fact is, it's all he wants to talk about, when we're focused on trying to win the war on terror. We're talking about policies that affect people today. BLITZER: All right. GILLESPIE: The president put forward a very positive agenda in New York City. That's why he's up in the polls today, because that's what people want to talk about. BLITZER: We're all out of time, but is it still on your Web site, as far as you know, Terry McAuliffe? MCAULIFFE: I've been out hunting for the last three days... GILLESPIE: Yes. MCAULIFFE: ... so I don't know if it's on the Web site. I'll check when I get back, Wolf. GILLESPIE: And you're going to take it down if it is? MCAULIFFE: Right. I'm not -- you and Eddie are sitting in Washington, man. I'm out here with the... (CROSSTALK) GILLESPIE: Are you going to take it down if it is, Terry? MCAULIFFE: I'll check it out and get back to you, Ed. I need to get back to Washington. Now, this afternoon, this can still be found on the website of the Democratic National Committee: Truth Here's what we learned tonight from Dan Rather's 60 Minutes report: There is no doubt now that George Bush got special treatment getting into the Guard through family connections. Bush went over his supervisor's head to avoid fulfilling his service. Bush's supervisor had to write a note to himself titled, "CYA" explaining that he was getting pressure to "sugar coat" Bush's record. Bush was grounded from flight status for not only failing to take his required medical exam per a direct order, but also because of his "failure to perform to (USAF/TexANG) standards." When is the Democratic National Committee going to remove this fradulent information from its website and apologize for its part in pushing this fraud? Monday, September 20, 2004
Dating the Documents
By some accounts, the fake Bush memos date back to at least March of this year.
From today's New York Times: By the accounts of Mr. Rather and other officials, they began to understand that their report was falling apart last Thursday, when Mr. Burkett confessed to CBS that he had lied about where he got the four memorandums. While he had initially said he got them from another former guardsman, people at CBS said, he then told them that the documents came through a convoluted process that started with a phone call from a stranger and ended with the handoff of an envelope at the Houston Livestock Show, that city's version of Mardi Gras. Now, this year's Houston Livestock Show was at the end of March. Sunday, September 19, 2004
"Europe will be Islamic by the end of the century"
Truly frightening stuff from Robert Spencer in Human Events.
Sweden's third-largest city, Malmø, according to the Swedish Aftonbladet, has become an outpost of the Middle East in Scandinavia: "The police now publicly admit what many Scandinavians have known for a long time: They no longer control the situation in the nations's third largest city. It is effectively ruled by violent gangs of Muslim immigrants. Some of the Muslims have lived in the area of Rosengård, Malmø, for twenty years, and still don't know how to read or write Swedish. Ambulance personnel are attacked by stones or weapons, and refuse to help anybody in the area without police escort. The immigrants also spit at them when they come to help. Recently, an Albanian youth was stabbed by an Arab, and was left bleeding to death on the ground while the ambulance waited for the police to arrive. The police themselves hesitate to enter parts of their own city unless they have several patrols, and need to have guards to watch their cars, otherwise they will be vandalized." The Nordgårdsskolen in Aarhus, Denmark, has become the first Dane-free Danish school. The students now come entirely from Denmark's fastest-growing constituency: Muslim immigrants. Also in Denmark, the Qur'an is now required reading for all upper-secondary school students. There is nothing wrong with that in itself, but it is unlikely, given the current ascendancy of political correctness on the Continent, that critical perspectives will be included. Saturday, September 18, 2004
Bill Burkett: Perpetrator or Patsy?
It’s fairly clear to me that the media is about ready to name former Army National Guard Lieutenant Colonel Bill Burkett as the source of the forged memos in the Danron affair and hope that things end there. CBS is, I’m quite sure, ready to pounce upon this line. They probably won’t fire Dan Rather. Instead, they’ll fire producer Mary Mapes (the apparent driving force behind the story) and then plead they were duped by a man who, it just happens, has spent time in mental institutions and can therefore be depicted as a crazy fraudster.
However, it is equally clear that this is not the whole of the story. It is eminently clear to me that others must have been involved in the process that led to this effort to perpetuate a fraud against the American people and, furthermore, that those unnamed others must be exposed and held accountable before we move beyond this. It is now admitted that at least one person within the Kerry campaign, former Senator Max Cleland, apparently spoke with Burkett and therefore had knowledge of these documents. Let’s go back in time and try to reconstruct what happened based on what we already know. As late as August 13th of this year, Burkett was claiming that: I have found no documentation from LTC Killian's hand or staff that indicate that this unit was involved in any complicit way to either cover for the failures of 1LT Bush, or to provide him pay or certification for training not completed. On the contrary, LTC Killians' remarks are rare. Now, let’s flash-forward eight days, to August 21st, the day that Burkett spoke to Cleland. The Washington Post writes: In an Aug. 21 posting, Burkett referred to a conversation with former senator Max Cleland (D-Ga.) about the need to counteract Republican tactics: "I asked if they wanted to counterattack or ride this to ground and outlast it, not spending any money. He said counterattack. So I gave them the information to do it with. But none of them have called me back." So, by the 21st of August, Burkett is claiming have information with which the Democrats can launch a “counterattack” against the Bush Campaign and that information is compelling enough to get him on the phone with Max Cleland. By the 25th of August Burkett was saying, again according to the Post, “that he and other researchers had "reassembled" files showing that Bush did not fulfill his oath to obey his superior officers.” So, what are we to conclude? While nothing is certain, I would guess that the information that Burkett sought came into his possession some time between August 13th and August 21st, when Burkett spoke to Cleland. The Kerry Campaign, it would appear, first learned of the existence of the forged documents at some point shortly before Burkett spoke to Cleland on the 21st (after all, I doubt if Burkett would be able to simply speak to Cleland without first convincing more junior individuals in the campaign of his “credibility”). Burkett himself describes having to get through, “get through seven layers of bureaucratic kids” in order to speak to Cleland. Who did Burkett speak to and what did he tell them? So, we are now left the following questions: 1) What did Burkett mean when he claimed that he and other “researchers” had “reassembled” the files? 2) Who were the other “researchers” who helped Burkett “reassemble” the files? 3) What did the Kerry campaign know about these fraudulent documents and when did they know it? 4) Is Burkett the perpetrator of this fraud, or is he himself a victim of it? Before we go any further, it is necessary for the Kerry campaign and the Democratic National Committee to disclose any and all known contacts between themselves and Bill Burkett. Whatever the exact circumstances, this man certainly did assist in attempting to defraud the American people and everyone deserves to know if and how he was assisted by both the Kerry campaign the DNC which, after all, must have had some forewarning of this attack to prepare its disastrous “Operation Fortunate Son.” More importantly, however, what we need to establish is this: did the documents originate with Burkett, or did some other individual or group use a gullible Burkett as a conduit for fake papers, knowing that, given his past history of mental problems, he would make an easy patsy if things went wrong? If you read his words closely, a better picture emerges. He and fellow “researchers” worked to “reassemble” the files. What does this mean? It seems to me that someone approached him claiming to have first-hand knowledge of the (fake) information contained with the forged memos. This information was then combined with Burkett’s own background knowledge and turned into a finished item. This story does not end with Bill Burkett and, ultimately, it is not about him. By most accounts Col. Burkett is not a well man. It’s about the people who used Burkett for their own purposes. Some have noted that these memos seem to be made-to-order for the storyline that CBS, the Kerry Campaign, and the Democratic National Committee wanted to run with. I agree. At the very minimum, both CBS and the Kerry campaign were utterly reckless and irresponsible and, through these things, allowed someone to attempt to influence a Presidential election with fake documents. At the maximum, well, it’s much worse. Rush to Lack of Judgement
This story from the Sunday edition of the Washington Post gives us a much clearer picture of what happened in the Danron affair: the Democrats were so eager to jump on anything anti-Bush, that they hit this story without any forethought as to the potential dangers.
Friday, September 17, 2004
Democrat Meltdown Watch
This West Virginia Republican apparently, with his three year-old daughter onhand, dared to wave a Bush-Cheney sign, which was promptly torn from his (or perhaps the daugther's) hands. Or, rather, partially torn. Wednesday, September 15, 2004
The New War: Putting the Bush Landslide to Use
Ok, let’s face it: this election is over. We’ve got polls out today which show President Bush in the lead in New Jersey, trailing by four in Illinois, and down by just six in New York. Other recent polls have showed the race tied even in Maine. Unless we see divine intervention of some sort, John Kerry is going to lose and, in all probability, drag Democrats around the country down with him.
To understand this, we need to compare these polls with state polls from 2000. At this time four years ago, Zogby had the race in Illinois at 50% for Gore to 35% for Bush (versus 49%-45% Kerry today). In late August of 2000 (after both conventions) Missouri was 45%-40% for Gore (the latest Gallup poll has Bush up 55%-41%). New York, in 2000, was 60% Gore to 31% Bush in a Quinnipiac poll. Today the same poll has the race 47% to 41%. Ohio polls from this time show Gore up by 2% (42%-40%), while the latest Strategic Vision poll shows Bush up by 12% (52%-40%). Now, there may be some tightening in the race, but I just don’t see how John Kerry can move from where he stands now to a win. I don’t think that Bush will win New York or Illinois (or ultimately come within ten points in either), but I’d ask those Democrats who would claim that these polls are meaningless what they would say if there were polls out there today showing Kerry in the lead in North Carolina, within four points in Alabama, and behind by six in Utah. It would be technically possible for Kerry to come back if Kerry had both an extremely strong debate performance and a first rate campaign team. However, he clearly does not have the latter and it appears doubtful if he will have the former. While it remains possible that Kerry will knock out Bush in the debates, it seems much more likely at this point (based on the performance of both candidates) that a well-practiced and highly disciplined Bush will face off against a rambling, overly-nuanced, and confused John Kerry. None of this should be interpreted as a call for overconfidence. What we must do now is to pour it on and continue the fight with renewed energy. The weakness of the Kerry campaign allows us to shift from fighting a bitter battle to hold the line into a massive offensive with the goal of destroying as much of the Democratic Party. To put it another way, the last few weeks of the campaign have been our Inchon, a decisive and complete breakthrough which can only be reversed by some sort of massive intervention of outside events. However, we cannot let this be cause for overconfidence. As the circumstances have changed, so our goals must change. Instead of simply seeking to hold on to what we have, we now have a chance to conquer new ground and drive our enemies back along a broad front. The Bush campaign must watch the polls carefully. If, by October 15th, Bush is still winning by ten points and ahead by a hundred electoral votes, resources ought to be shifted to down-ballot races where possible. Both Nixon in 1972 and Reagan in 1984 made the exact same mistake: they wasted valuable time and cash attempting to win a fifty-state sweep rather than getting more Republicans elected as Governors, Senators, and Congressmen. At this point, it’s more or less a certainty that the Republicans will keep (and probably strengthen) their control of the House. So it’s the Senate that really matters. As things stand today there are fifty-two Republicans and forty-eight Democrats in the Senate. The magic number where the GOP can do pretty much whatever it wants is sixty Senators. So, how do we get up to that number? Well, to begin with, we’re down one: Illinois is long gone, Barak Osama (err… Obama) will be the next Senator from that state. The other vulnerable seats presently held by Republicans are in Alaska, Colorado, and Oklahoma. Frankly, at this point, I think the only one which may still be endangered on Election Day is Colorado and even that should flip into a hold by November. So, in all probability, we start from a base of fifty-one seats. The open seats in Georgia and South Carolina are both probably a lock for Republicans. The other Southern seats in Florida, North Carolina, and Louisiana all lean towards the Republicans, but are likely to be close. Since Louisiana is certain to be a run-off campaigning there can probably be put off until after the main elections. If the President is far enough ahead, he’ll probably definitely want to make a stop or two in North Carolina to help Richard Burr, who is locked in a tough fight with former White House Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles. In a Bush win, I suspect we can count on winning four of these five seats. So that puts us up to fifty-five. An obvious candidate for the fifty-sixth seat is South Dakota, where polls show challenger John Thune now leading Senator Majority Leader Tom Daschle. If the President has the time he’ll definitely want to stop here, because there’s a close race for the state’s long House seat going on as well. In order to ensure victory, I’d also strongly recommend the deployment of a brigade of GOP lawyers to the state’s Indian reservations. Seat number fifty-seven would come out of the great state of Washington, where George Nethercutt is running an extremely strong race against incumbent Democrat Patti Murray. I live within the Seattle broadcast market and travel regularly in Northern Washington State so I can tell you first-hand that Nethercutt is running a very strong challenge to the largely useless and invisible Senator Murray. It’s an uphill fight to be sure, but it’s also a possible one. Remember, Nethercutt got elected to Congress in the first place by defeating the Speaker of the House. The fifty-eighth seat could be delivered by former California Secretary of State Bill Jones. While recent polls show Jones far behind incumbent Barbara Boxer, Senator Boxer’s re-elect rating remains low. If ultra-popular Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger were to hit the trail in support of Jones, I think it’s possible that he might win it in a squeaker, especially if he’s helped by a Bush tide (and the fact that a Bush victory would be clear well before the polls closed in California, thus depressing Democratic turnout in the state). A fifty-ninth seat could be delivered by a Republican victory in Wisconsin which, while a long-shot at the moment, could probably be achieved if the President were to hit the road in support of nominee Tim Michels. Feingold is far from exceedingly popular and may well be vulnerable. If Bush manages to win a forty-state landslide on November 2nd, it may well be that Republican hopes for a filibuster-proof majority will hinge upon a run-off in Louisiana. As to that, having been burned by previous Louisiana run-offs, I venture no prediction. This is all, of course, the best case scenario: but it is an increasingly possible one. The Democratic campaign is not just losing, but its collapsing. Just this afternoon I saw James Carville, who is working for the Kerry campaign at the moment, subtly trying to distance himself from the campaign on CNN (in a “they need to listen to me” sort of way). All of this will be greatly intensified by the fact that a large chunk of the Democratic Party never liked Senator Kerry very much anyways and, thus, will be eager to turn on him as he continues to trail. Already you can see it in the leaks coming out of the campaign. The Democrats have all convinced themselves that Bush is easily beatable (and this perception will survive the election), and so none will wish to be blamed for the loss of the election. And I don’t expect the average Democratic activist to take the right lesson from this. Their (near-certain) response will be to howl “we should have nominated Howard Dean” (and, I’ll add, I think it’s more likely that Dr. Howard Brush Dean III will run in 2008 than not). As they did in 2002, the lesson they take from this will not be that the American people reject their liberalism, but that it was inadequately explained. The surest sign that Kerry is about to lose badly will be when the most partisan Democrats (such as those at the Daily Kos and Democratic Underground) start to spend a great deal of time talking about the “invisible voters” who are going to show up at the polls and rescue them just like they were going to carry Howard Dean to victory in the primaries and in the general election. We are winning, but effort is still needed. Our assault is seemingly in the process of forcing the Democrats to retreat to their home islands, but the work is not done yet. As we advance further they will fight for every inch of ground with ever-increasing viciousness and ferocity. What we must begin now is the drive towards the Hiroshima and Nagasaki of this war. Remember: victory is not won when the enemy is merely injured. It is won only when it is destroyed. Kerry's Odd Plan for America
I saw actual printed copies of the Kerry/Edwards "Our Plan for America" book at the store today, so I decided to look and see if it contained the same major error as I pointed out in the online version and, what do you know, it does.
It's right there, on page 35 of the printed Kerry book. Let me quote it to you verbatim: We are committed to the resumption of genuinely active, high-level participation in the Northern Ireland peace process. By pro-actively supporting the leaders in Northern Ireland and the Irish and British Governments, we will work to help achieve the full implementation of the Good Friday Agreement, including the restoration of the Assembly, the assurance of the permanence of the democratic institutions, the demilitarization of Northern Ireland, an end to all paramilitarism, progress on equality and human rights, and a police service that fairly represents and is widely supported by the people of Northern Ireland. We support giving undocumented workers who have lived and worked here for five years, who pay taxes, and who are successfully screened for security purposes, a path to citizenship. We are also aware of the deportee cases and will take a fresh look at them. Now, really, this is just sloppy. Did no one in the Kerry campaign bother to read this before they put it on their web site and sent it to the publisher? The people at the campaign must know as well as the rest of us do what nonsense Kerry's promises are. The New CBS Line
This Election is Over
Bush leads 49%-45% in New Jersey.
Kerry leads just 49%-45% in Illinois. Bush is within six points (47%-41%) in New York. Yeah. While I'm sure Kerry will win Illinois and New York, I think at this point we can legitimately consider New Jersey of all places to be a battleground state. Monday, September 13, 2004
The Rachel Corrie Society
John Kerry is going to lose this election and he’s going to lose it badly. This prediction will probably embarrass me, but I’m going to come right out this point and predict that on November 3rd President Bush will find himself re-elected with a popular vote total in the mid-50’s and wins in more than forty states. What’s more, the Republicans will pick up as many as twenty seats in the House and seven in the Senate. On Election Day, Republicans will win where no one ever expected them to. George Nethercutt will be elected as the new junior Senator from the State of Washington. In California, both the state’s fifty-five electoral votes and Barbara Boxer’s Senate seat will still appear to be up for grabs on Election Day.
What’s more, this vision of the future will be almost universally-clear by the end of this month. That Senator Kerry will win anywhere at all is simply reflective of the sad fact that in states like New York, Massachusetts, and Illinois these days the Democrats could run Jeffrey Dahmer for President and win (and, being dead, Dahmer would appeal to a core Democratic demographic). Now, it certainly didn’t have to be this way: while the odds always favored the re-election of this President, the Democrats could certainly have run a respectable candidate who would, at the very least, have managed to keep things close up until the end. Given a first-rate campaign, that candidate might even have managed to win. However, the adherents of the Democratic Party itself made this impossible through a combination of the folly of their leaders and the increasing psychological distress of its leading followers. The first and most obvious factor leading to the present Democratic dilemma is the decision to drastically shorten the primary season which allowed John Kerry to essentially capture the Democratic nomination in a one-month lightning campaign. Had there been a longer process, with real space between the primaries, I strongly suspect that John Edwards and not John Kerry would have won the nomination and we would now be facing a very different election. How a good chunk of the nation’s electorate developed a mass delusion in January-March 2004 and decided that John Forbes Kerry was the most “electable” Democratic candidate is a subject that you could get a good thesis out of. However, the nomination of Senator Kerry occurred, thus leaving the Democrats without a candidate they can any interest in voting for and, therefore, they were freed to let loose the darker angles of their nature. Without any exaggeration or hyperbole, I assert the following: the most fanatical followers of the Democratic Party have worked themselves into a frenzy of paranoia and anger which, in combination, have brought many of them to the brink of insanity. Moreover, because the left is so desperate to win, they have decided to welcome these obviously unwell people into the front ranks and use them as expendable cannon fodder as part of their effort to win this election. The problem, of course, is that once the Democrats let their lunatic wing out of its padded cells, they rapidly seized the asylum. A quick survey of major Democratic sites on the internet, such as Democratic Underground and Daily Kos finds that the level of discourse in such places is broadly comparable to that of a meeting of the John Birch Society circa 1962. The John Birch Society was named for a Christian Missionary who was killed by the Chinese Communists in 1945 (believed, by Society founder Robert Welsch, to be the first casualty of the Cold War). It was, to put it mildly, a strange group which got progressively stranger than time. It first came known to the public via its bizarre claim that President Eisenhower was a Soviet agent. Why it’s significant is this: like the fringes of the modern Democratic Party, its fanatically-dedicated members were willing to work, and so they sought to infiltrate the political process at every level. The Birchers practiced a tactic known as “Entryism”. They would seek to infiltrate respectable organizations (such as the Republican Party) in order to advance their agenda. They were stopped, for the most part, because the Republicans themselves sought to fight them off and drive them out of the party, realizing that whatever short-term benefits their support might confer would have negative long-term consequences. The Democrats, however, welcomed the members of the Rachel Corrie Society into their ranks with open arms, hoping that they would be able to utilize the energy of these people while controlling some of their… stranger impulses. Groups such as MoveOn.org and the Presidential campaign of Howard Dean worked to unite these people and fuse them into something resembling a cohesive movement which, for all of the individual causes it represented, were united in one common goal: the defeat of George W. Bush. Unfortunately for the Democratic leaders who decided on this course, the supposed cure has already proven to be much worse than the disease. Instead of merely having to deal with a President they despise for the next four years, the Democrats are going to have to do it while being attacked for being insufficiently zealous by wingnuts who suddenly hold a commanding position in the party. Given the ideological bent of the newest and most fanatical leaders of the Democratic Party, I fully expect that the senior members of that party will be required to attend self-criticism sessions as a way of coming to terms with the defeat of John Kerry. A fairly large portion of the base of the present-day Democratic Party believes, among other things, that the Bush Administration started the War in Iraq to make money for Halliburton, that it murdered Senator Paul Wellstone, that it either staged the 9-11 attacks or deliberately allowed them to occur, that it’s plotting to rig the November elections, and that, upon the whole, the leaders of the Bush Administration should be considered the moral equivalent of the leaders of Nazi Germany. Now, there will be those who will point out that certain sections of the right harboured similar paranoid delusions with regard to Bill Clinton and his Administration. However, it seem important to note that these people were never embraced by the so-called mainstream of the Republican Party. Steve Forbes didn’t tell reporters that he considered rumours that Clinton ordered Vince Forster murdered an “interesting theory.” Republican Senators didn’t attend and applaud screenings of “The Clinton Chronicles.” The hatred and insanity was there, to be sure, but it wasn’t embraced or manipulated by people in the same way that Bush-hatred has by the Democrats. And this, I think, is going to be a big part of their undoing. If you watch and read the mainstream media closely, the signs of the crack up between the rational and irrational left are more than evident. Watch the expressions on the faces of the reporters and anchors as they talk to some of the wackier Democrats today: they know that these people are simply out of their minds. They know it, and they don’t want to sink with them. Just wait and watch for the signs. You can see it in all of the fuss over the forged memos being waved around by CBS. The mainstream media tried to carry water for the left over that issue but, eventually, most of them simply ditched their buckets and faced up to the truth. Look for that to be a common occurrence in the coming weeks. CBS's Lies
Read this CBS story carefully:
CBS said Monday it relied on an analysis of the contents of the documents themselves to determine their authenticity. The new papers are in line with what is known about the president's service assignments and dates, CBS said. For instance, CBS said, the official record shows that Mr. Bush was suspended from flying on Aug. 1, 1972. That date matches the one on a memo given to CBS News, ordering that Mr. Bush be suspended. So, in other words, they claim to have decided that the documents were real because the dates lined up. Yah-huh. That's rigorous analysis for you. Sunday, September 12, 2004
More or North Korea's "Accident"
From a 2002 Korean news story:
Kim Hyong-jik County, Yanggang Province, in which a large-scale missile base was learned to have been completed in the 1990s From a story today: It was reported that there was a massive explosion Thursday around the town of Yongjo-ri, Kim Hyong-jik County, Ryanggang Province. U.S. Department of State, sources familiar with North Korea and the Korean government all confirmed the explosion. Now, people are claiming that this is a "forest fire", but that doesn't really seem to be consistent with reports like this: A high-ranking government official said Sunday, ¡°It is true that a large mushroom cloud about 3.5 to 4 km in diameter was observed by a satellite at around 11:00 a.m. Thursday. It was not a nuclear test, but the explosion seemed to be three times bigger than the one that took place during the Ryongchon Station accident Of course, a lot of people question whether or not what happened at Ryongchon was an "accident". And then, of course, we've also got trains exploding in Iran. Interestingly: On April 22, while trains loaded with chemical component fertilizer and tank cars containing oil were being repaired at Ryongchon Station in North Pyongan Province, they came in contact with an electrical wire through carelessness, setting off a massive explosion. (April 24, Korean Central News Agency, Pyongyang Broadcasting Station, Korea Central Television Station) Last Wednesday, a string of 51 wagons loaded with chemicals, fuel and fertiliser derailed and exploded at Khayyam station near Neyshabour, some 75 kilometres (50 miles) from the northeastern city of Mashhad. Apparently both the North Koreans and the Iranians like to turn their trains into rail-bound bombs. My suspicion is that what we actually saw was some sort of attack on North Korea's major missile base. Saturday, September 11, 2004
My Bet
North Korean Nuclear Test?
Well, that's what seems to be indicated by this AP Article.
SEOUL, South Korea (AP) -- A large explosion rocked the northern part of North Korea, sending a huge mushroom cloud into the air on an important anniversary of the communist regime, South Korea's Yonhap news agency reported Sunday.
"We understand that a mushroom-shaped cloud about 2.2 miles to 2.5 miles in diameter was monitored during the explosion," Yonhap quoted an unidentified diplomatic source in Seoul as saying.It goes without saying that this is alarming (if as-yet unconfirmed). Of course the real problem is that there isn't really much that can be done, aside from detering the North Koreans with the threat of force. After all, if they've tested, they've (as many suspected) probably had nukes for years. The last window to stop them, I believe history will record, closed in 1994 or so. More to come. Thursday, September 09, 2004
Fake CBS Memos on Bush in the Guard
You know those documents that CBS and the rest of the mainstream media have been trumpeting for days? Well, it now seems all-but-officially-confirmed that they're rather low quality forgeries.
How do we know this? Well, there's a few key points. I'll leave aside the ones in disupte and point to a few which are not in dispute. 1) The documents use, on two occassion, the Microsoft Word elevated-"th" in words like "147th". No known typewriter that exisited in 1972-1973 and was in regular use did this (some extremely specialized one may have, but such are unlikely to be found in a National Guard Office). 2) The signatures on the documents simply do not match to any reasonable degree. 3) The documents also features "smart quotes" another feature which certianly didn't exist at that time. 4) As it happens, the documents matches exactly a document written on a modern version of Microsoft Word in Times New Roman 12 Point Font (which didn't exist at the time these supposed documents were produced). Charles Johnson of Little Green Footballs has provided us with a very damning graphic: Now, here's the document as it appears from CBS:
Here is the document that Charlie Johnson made on his computer this afternoon:
And here are the CBS image and the LGF image superimposed:
Wednesday, September 08, 2004
The Rise of Hamiltonian Conservatism
One of the things we’ve witnessed over the past decade or so is nothing less than the birth of an entirely new ideology in modern America. As anyone who watched the Republican National Convention last week can attest, the modern Republican Party is not exactly the party of Barry Goldwater or even, quite, that of Ronald Reagan. While this is in some ways a lamentable development (I shuddered inwardly every time someone started talked about increased funding for some social program) it is also probably a necessary one.
The conservatism that Barry Goldwater, Ronald Reagan, and Newt Gingrich campaigned upon was a very admirable political ideology, but not a functioning governing philosophy. It’s nice to talk about throwing out the New Deal, banning abortion, or junking the Department of Education: but, short of a violent revolution, it isn’t going to happen. This is to be lamented, of course, but it is also something that must be accepted. Reagan himself governed far less conservatively than he campaigned (both when he was Governor of California and when he was President) because government-by-absolute-ideology is impossible in a democracy. This is one reason I very rapidly lose patience with those so-called ‘conservatives’ who are prepared to abandon President Bush over this or that issue. If you magically installed Pat Buchannan or Tom Tancredo themselves in the Oval Office, they’d have about as much success it conducting mass deportations of illegal immigrants as every President of the modern era has. Now, you might point out that no President of the modern era has tried; and I would point out to you that there’s a reason for that. Absolutist social conservatism and anti-government rhetoric are very appealing to some voters, but they aren’t principles which you can effectively govern upon. You might win an election on that platform, if you find a perfect storm, but the odds are that you’d win exactly that one and then see all of your reforms overturned in less than two years. This is not to counsel defeatism: real change is possible and real action, real conservative action, remains the goal: but it cannot be achieved overnight and victory cannot be gained without sacrifice. Because, over a number of generations, the Republican Party has become America’s majority party it has had to transform its philosophy from that of an opposition to that of a government. When you’re in opposition you can scream about whatever you like, you can tar the governing party for everything that goes wrong, and you can subsist on the twin illusions that both there can be a perfect government and that you can provide that government. Such moral clarity, however, fades quickly once one is handed the actual task of governing. This pertinent fact is fully recognized by Newt himself, as he’s made clear in recent years as a commentator. In fact, I suspect it may have been what he had in mind all along. A sign of maturity is making peace with the world as it is. You need not be happy with how things are, but you must accept that things cannot be changed overnight and that man cannot be altered by fiat. The new conservatism is the old conservatism after it graduated from college, got married, bought a house, and had two kids. It still doesn’t like big government, but understands that it has to be accommodated to a reasonable degree. It doesn’t like to see America, in Robert Bork’s memorable phrase, “slouching towards Gomorrah” but understands that mere screaming will do nothing to change it and will, in fact, render the forces of conservatism incapable of achieving even half of what they sought to do in the first place. Now, some people have suggested that the present Republican Party is similar to the Democratic Party of the Truman Era. I reject that suggestion, and here’s why: the goal of the Democrats of that era in using government was to assist the people. The goal of the new Republicans is to use the government to strengthen the nation. These are fundamentally different concepts. You can call it “Compassionate Conservatism” or “Bush Conservatism” or “Neo-conservatism”: all of those names apply to some degree. To put it most simply, it is a mature conservatism. The name I prefer is “Hamiltonian Conservatism”, in honor of the man whose vision made him the true father of modern America and whose ideas, in which a strong and effective central government was to be used to make the nation stronger, are seemingly the basis of this new (and old) ideology. Alexander Hamilton was a great man. The first Secretary of the Treasury and the principal author of the Federalist Papers, he ought to have been President, but his life was tragically cut short by the treachery of Aaron Burr (who was a member of the party which eventually become the Democrats). He believed that a strong central government was the only force with the ability to generate the credit which would pay for the armies which would win the wars which would make America great. He understood that, when it comes to governing, you have your principles and then you have the things that you can do and that you must, ultimately, opt for the doable over the idealistic. Hamilton was a man who, because of his tragic childhood, understood the negative and eternal truth about human nature. American conservatives, because they have grown up in a world of such hope, often forget the realities of the world. We can’t save everyone. We can’t expect the best of everyone. All we can do it fight like the Devil and snatch what we can get. He wanted a President who would rule “on good behavior” and a system which, in most features, resembled a Constitutional Monarchy. Needless to say: he didn’t get it. But he didn’t let that deter him: he went on and became one of the most passionate and articulate advocates of the Constitution because he understood that it was the best that he was going to get. Many modern conservatives in that position would sulk off and oppose the Constitution on the grounds that it was imperfect, but Hamilton understood an important and essential truth: because man is imperfect all of the works of man are imperfect and this we must accept if we are to move forward in this world. As a general rule, “all or nothing” absolutists in politics (or pretty much anywhere) end up with nothing. Only now, after thirty-three years, are we having any success against abortion: and that small success comes only because the focus of the movement has begun to shift from radical, overnight change to presentable and incremental change. However, this job has been made more difficult because our previous position have left people with the (correct) impression that the incremental steps were propose are merely meant as a prelude to the total ban we wanted in the first place. Thus, people are roused to fight even completely sensible measures as though they were a call for a total ban. This also means, in general, that we’re going to have to accept and learn to manage some degree of social spending and some degree of government involvement in the economy. This is not to say that I regard either of these things as good, quite the opposite, but rather that they are political necessities because a corrupted people demand them and will not be talked into giving them up anytime soon. The phrase “Bismarckian Conservatism” might also apply here. Bismarck supported social programs (in fact, he created the most through social welfare program in the world at the time), not because he was interested in giving pensions to old people, but because giving pensions to old people would maintain social stability and therefore help him to make Germany stronger and more united. Conservatives need to look at social programs in a different way: they shouldn’t really be viewed as an effort to “help” anyone. As a general rule giving things away for free is exactly the wrong way to assist anyone, since it is only the sacrifices entailed in earning that invests something with true value. In any case, a fair survey of that percentage of the population which remains dependent upon the government suggests that they’re largely beyond help. Our declining culture will, combined with the rising standards necessary to advance in the economy, create an increasing “underclass” as time goes on. Eventually, people on the left are going to really get around to organizing those people. So, what are we to do? There’s no point in cutting them off from their benefits, doing that will simply rouse them from their stupor and get more of them to the polls on Election Day. Rather, we should consider maintaining (or even increasing) their benefits while, at the exact same time, making it harder for them to vote (I recommend modern and simple literacy tests for this purpose. From my extensive time spent examining present and future members of our underclass, I’m quite convinced that a series of simple language and math questions would be enough to discourage them from voting). Of course, it might cost us some extra money in the short-term to keep the dregs relatively happy and silent but, in the long term, it will be a great investment, as fewer of them vote and therefore allow us to make up for the money spent by electing wiser governments which will allow for faster economic growth. In this sense the proposal is both Hamiltonian and Bismarckian: it advocates a pragmatic policy which views social programs not as a means of assistance, but rather as a means of control. To this end, we must also consider the separation of middle-class entitlements from underclass entitlements. When both the underclass and the middle-class are dependent on universal programs such as Social Security and Medicare, they’re likely to vote (to some degree) as though they share common interests). Means-testing all government programs and offering private alternatives is the long-term solution to this problem. Concepts such as the “Ownership Society” are designed with this in mind. Why, for example, would it be desirable for, ultimately, everyone to have their own personal retirement accounts with their own personal investments? Yes, it is useful because it’ll make more money over the long term and therefore sustain Social Security longer, however, the more important effect would be that if the government offered personal retirement savings accounts then virtually everyone in America would eventually become an investor and, in such a position, will be far more inclined to support pro-market policies than they otherwise would. The same is ultimately true of people who own their own homes: people who have a financial stake in the present society are far more likely to support policies which appear likely to enhance their personal wealth and to oppose any sort of radical change. In other words, our plan seeks to promote the cause of the actual “middle class”, the people who do the most work in America and who also (usefully) have the most votes. We seek to make the middle-class and the rich richer and the poor about as poor (but possibly happier). Think of it as a necessary amputation. We will discard a diseased limb to save the whole. Hamiltonian Conservatism is also outwardly socially moderate. This is not out of conviction, but rather of necessity. As conservatives we must realize that we cannot radically remake human nature or alter societal tides with the means available to us. Therefore, we must make peace with and learn to manage the changes that are occurring in society. Absolutist social conservatism is a political dead end: something that the abortion debate should tell you. Anti-abortion fanatics have been chaining themselves to the doors of clinics for more than three decades with virtually nothing to show for their exertions. Moreover, by presenting themselves as absolutists in the debate they’ve managed to marginalize themselves. Fundamentally, the tactic of the Hamiltonian Conservative on abortion (and gay marriage) ought to be to emulate the tactics the left have used in promoting the homosexual cause: ultra-moderate rhetoric used to justify seemingly harmless small measures which, ultimately, will inflict so many blows upon the other side as to bring about a generalized collapse. This might be a good time to consider how a future President Giuliani or President Schwarzenegger. A Republican Party with a moderate face would, in modern America, be a nearly unstoppable force. Frankly, I suspect that either, if they were to lead us in 2008 with full conservative backing, would win a shattering 1932 or 1964-style victory. One which would sink boatloads of Democratic officeholders. Now, what’s the advantage of this to social conservatives, you might ask? Simple: it lets the GOP potentially achieve its goals on these issues. A paradox? Not really. A moderate Republican President would understand the need to accommodate the Republican base and, because they would have a hold upon centrist voters, might be able to allow for more substantive action of these issues than an ultra-conservative one would. It’s a classic negotiating strategy: President Schwarzenegger goes to the Democrats in Congress and tells them that, “Well, you’ll have to support my marriage amendment because, if you don’t, I can’t control these people.” Does it get us everything? No. Does it get us more than we might get otherwise? Possibly. The time has come for conservatives to begin to consider the new options open to us. We have achieved much of what can be achieved by shouting: we’re steadily taking control over government. This control, I think, we should be able to enhance even if John Kerry somehow wins in November, since the underlying trends continue to favor us. What is needed now is increased tactical flexibility. We should not change our goals, but we should consider that arguing for something and doing something require fundamentally different mindsets and actions. Monday, September 06, 2004
More on that Bizarre Kerry Press Release
Lawsuits Are Driving Up Health Care Costs & Hurting Job Growth.
5. Melissa Brown: Thousands of lawsuits are driving up health care costs. 6. Geoff Davis: “I'll fight to stop the frivolous lawsuits that drive up health care costs…” “… and hurt jobs.” This is entirely true: according to the non-partisan National Center for Policy Analysis: Medical liability is extremely costly to the medical industry. It adds $60 billion to $110 billion to the costs of private health care each year and another $30 billion to $60 billion to federal government payments for Medicare, Medicaid and other programs. The Department of Health and Human Services agrees. 11. Senator John McCain: “Our President will work with all nations willing to help us defeat this scourge that afflicts us all.” As of July 17, 2004, the following nations had deployed forces to Iraq: Albania, Australia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Estonia, Georgia, Honduras, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Moldova, Mongolia, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Nicaragua, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Thailand, the Philippines, Romania, Slovakia, South Korea, Spain, Ukraine and the United Kingdom. LIE: Bush Created Homeland Security Department 19. Dennis Hastert: We have taken important steps to defend our people by creating a Department of Homeland Security to better coordinate our internal defense. Why, here's where he signed the bill creating said Department. Taxes, Litigation, and Regulation Lead to Job Loss. 29. Hastert: These [taxation, litigation, and regulation] are the job killers. They add costs to our products and put American workers at a disadvantage. So Kerry's saying that taxes, lawsuits, and regulation create jobs? John Kerry Voted Against Funding Troops. 38. Rudy Guliani: And then just 9 months later, he voted against an $87 billion supplemental budget to fund the war and support our troops. This is true. It's something that everyone knows is true. Kerry has said he voted against that measure because it would have financed the war with borrowed money. He voted for a defeated alternative that would have rolled back some of Bush's tax cuts to pay for the conflict. While looking this up, I found something else of interest: On the Sept. 14, 2003, edition of CBS's Face the Nation, Kerry spoke at length about an amendment he and Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., were offering which would have paid for the $87 billion by delaying some of the recent tax cuts. Asked if he would vote against the $87 billion if his amendment did not pass, Kerry said, "I don't think any United States senator is going to abandon our troops and recklessly leave Iraq to whatever follows as a result of simply cutting and running. That's irresponsible." John Kerry’s Statement on the $87 Billion Indicates Inconsistency. 40. Rudy Guliani: My point about John Kerry being inconsistent is best described in his own words when he said, "I actually did vote for the $87 billion before I voted against it." I'm not really sure what it demonstrates if it doesn't demonstrate inconsistency. John Kerry Flip-Flopped on the Security Fence. 41. Rudy Guliani: In October, 2003, he told an Arab-American Institute in Detroit that a security barrier separating Israel from the Palestinian Territories was a "barrier to peace." A few months later, he took exactly the opposite position. In an interview with the Jerusalem Post he said, "Israel's security fence is a legitimate act of self defense." If you're going to deny flip-flopping, one would be well-advised not to outline the flip-flop in the process of the denial. Reasons for Removing Saddam Were Based on More Than Just WMDs. 45. Rudy Guliani: But the reasons for removing Saddam Hussein were based on issues even broader than just the presence of weapons of mass destruction. Well, the War Resolution that Senator Kerry voted for named reasons other than WMD's; Whereas after the liberation of Kuwait in 1991, Iraq entered into a United Nations sponsored cease-fire agreement pursuant to which Iraq unequivocally agreed, among other things, to eliminate its nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons programs and the means to deliver and develop them, and to end its support for international terrorism; Whereas Iraq both poses a continuing threat to the national security of the United States and international peace and security in the Persian Gulf region and remains in material and unacceptable breach of its international obligations by, among other things, continuing to possess and develop a significant chemical and biological weapons capability, actively seeking a nuclear weapons capability, and supporting and harboring terrorist organizations; Whereas Iraq persists in violating resolution of the United Nations Security Council by continuing to engage in brutal repression of its civilian population thereby threatening international peace and security in the region, by refusing to release, repatriate, or account for non-Iraqi citizens wrongfully detained by Iraq, including an American serviceman, and by failing to return property wrongfully seized by Iraq from Kuwait; Whereas members of al Qaida, an organization bearing responsibility for attacks on the United States, its citizens, and interests, including the attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, are known to be in Iraq; Whereas Iraq continues to aid and harbor other international terrorist organizations, including organizations that threaten the lives and safety of United States citizens; Whereas the Iraq Liberation Act of 1998 (Public Law 105-338) expressed the sense of Congress that it should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove from power the current Iraqi regime and promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime; Unless, of course, Senator Kerry didn't bother to read the resolution before he voted to send American boys to war. Bush Gave 4 Million Seniors Discounted Prescription Drugs 48. Frist: And right now, thanks to the President's action, this Medicare prescription drug discount card is providing 4 million seniors with immediate relief from the high cost of their medicines. Remarks [Remarks at the Republican National Convention, 8/31/04] From the Department of Health and Human Services: Administrator Mark B. McClellan, M.D., Ph.D., today announced that enrollment in the Medicare-approved drug discount card program has surpassed the 4 million mark – eclipsing the pace of enrollment in the popular children’s health program. Kerry Mischaracterized Bush’s Stem Cell Policy 52. Frist: John Kerry claims that the President has put a "sweeping ban" on stem cell research. [Remarks at the Republican National Convention, 8/31/04] From the BBC: "Here in America, we don't sacrifice science for ideology," he said. "Come next January, when John Edwards and I are sworn into office, we're going to create a new anniversary, one that will be a cause for celebration." "We're going to lift the ban on stem cell research," he said Kerry’s Health Care Plan to Cost $1 Trillion 54. Frist: We have a choice. John Kerry's trillion dollar government-run plan will place your health in the hands of others faraway. [Remarks at the Republican National Convention, 8/31/04] From the Washington Post: Kerry's health care plan is easily his most ambitious campaign promise, but it comes with a large price tag: more than $650 billion, and perhaps much more, over the next decade, according to health care experts. The proposal dwarfs the senator's plans to increase spending in other areas, including education and the environment. Bush Inherited Recession, Faced Attack on Homeland. 62. Schwarzenegger: “America's economy is moving ahead in spite of a recession they inherited and in spite of the attack on our homeland.” [GOP Convention, 8/31/04] Bush didn't face an attack on the American Homeland? That's news to New Yorkers. As for the recession, whether it started in late 2000 or March 2001, either way he can't be blamed. Bush Inherited a Recession 65. Cheney: “As President Bush and I were sworn into office, our nation was sliding into recession…” [Cheney Remarks, 9/1/04] It wasn't? Bush Destroyed Terrorist Training Camps in Afghanistan 68. Cheney: “In Afghanistan, the camps where terrorists trained to kill Americans have been shut down…” [Cheney Remarks, 9/1/04] They weren't destroyed? That'll ne welcome news to al-Qaeda. Kerry Said He Would Only Deploy Troops at the Directive of the UN 69. Cheney: “Senator Kerry began his political career by saying he would like to see our troops deployed ‘only at the directive of the United Nations.’” [Cheney Remarks, 9/1/04] Kerry said that the United Nations should have control over most of our foreign military operations. "I'm an internationalist. I'd like to see our troops dispersed through the world only at the directive of the United Nations." -The Harvard Crimson, 1970 Kerry Opposes Reagan Defense Initiatives 70. Cheney: “During the 1980s, Senator Kerry opposed Ronald Reagan's major defense initiatives that brought victory in the Cold War.” [Cheney Remarks, 9/1/04]
Kerry Spoke of a More “Sensitive” War on Terror 71. Cheney: “He talks about leading a ‘more sensitive war on terror,’ as though Al Qaeda will be impressed with our softer side.” [Cheney Remarks, 9/1/04] "I believe I can fight a more effective, more thoughtful, more strategic, more proactive, more sensitive war on terror" -John Kerry, August 2004 95. Miller: “Together, Kennedy/Kerry have opposed the very weapons system that won the Cold War and that is now winning the War on Terror.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 96. Miller: “Listing all the weapon systems that Senator Kerry tried his best to shut down sounds like an auctioneer selling off our national security but Americans need to know the facts.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 97. Miller: “The B-1 bomber, that Senator Kerry opposed, dropped 40% of the bombs in the first six months of Operation Enduring Freedom.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 98. Miller: “The B-2 bomber, that Senator Kerry opposed, delivered air strikes against the Taliban in Afghanistan and Hussein's command post in Iraq.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 99. Miller: “The F-14A Tomcats, that Senator Kerry opposed, shot down Khadifi's Libyan MIGs over the Gulf of Sidra.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 100. Miller: “The modernized F-14D, that Senator Kerry opposed, delivered missile strikes against Tora Bora.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 101. Miller: “The Apache helicopter, that Senator Kerry opposed, took out those Republican Guard tanks in Kuwait in the Gulf War.” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 102. Miller: “The F-15 Eagles, that Senator Kerry opposed, flew cover over our Nation's Capital and this very city after 9/11.” 103. Miller: “I could go on and on and on: Against the Patriot Missile that shot down Saddam Hussein's scud missiles over Israel…”[Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 104. Miller: “…Against the Aegis air-defense cruiser…” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 105. Miller: “…Against the Strategic Defense Initiative…” [Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] 106. Miller: “…Against the Trident missile, against, against, against. This is the man who wants to be the Commander in Chief of our U.S. Armed Forces? U.S. forces armed with what? Speeutbawlls?”[Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] Now, the Democrats have been pressing hard on all of this, claiming that Cheney (as Defense Secretary) cut all of these things and that the Republicans were using post-Cold War votes against Kerry. Not true. I've found the Kerry document that was the source of all of this.
Kerry Does Not Support Welfare Reform/Faith-Based Initiatives 114. Santorum: John Kerry's response -- he joined Senate Democrats in blocking the President's welfare reform and faith-based initiatives. He says he's "concerned" about the separation of church and state. Bush Inherited a Recession. The truth is that John Kerry opposed Welfare Reform right up until the eve of the 1996 election when he (wait for it) flip-flopped on the issue. Martinez Said Kerry Wanted to Raise Taxes. 132. Martinez: “President Bush wants to cut taxes, and John Kerry wants to raise taxes.” [Mel Martinez, 9/2/04] Ha! Yeah. I'm going to go in the Kerry spirit and I'm just going to let that one stand. I could find stuff on a lot of the other items posted but, unlike whoever put this list together, I'm not getting paid for my time. Sunday, September 05, 2004
This John Kerry Press Release...
This is, perhaps, the single most pathetic effort at spin I've ever seen. They've put together this list of "lies". Why are they lies? Do they provide information to back up this assertion? Nope. They just decree that they're "lies." Apparently the Kerry campaign now spins by fiat.
Now, here's my other objection: 106. Miller: “…Against the Trident missile, against, against, against. This is the man who wants to be the Commander in Chief of our U.S. Armed Forces? U.S. forces armed with what? Speeutbawlls?”[Miller Remarks, 9/1/04] It goes without saying that this is not how the remarks read or are transcribed anywhere. Now, I don't mean to be hyper-sensitive. But does anyone think that the Republicans could get away with rendering remarks by Al Sharpton in "black English." I think they should be able to: but I'm sure they wouldn't. We ought not have double standards. Give Him a Medal
Watch this video from the Republican National Convention.
Now, some Democrats are trying to get the young man in question charged with something! Bullshit. I say we give him a medal. These sons of bitches (and bitches) can't start a melee at a Republican event and then scream when one of their worthless, useless, pathetic asses gets kicked in the process. Friday, September 03, 2004
The Need for a Russo-American Alliance
I’ve called for it for sometime, but I think that recent days have made the case all the clearer: there should be a formal alliance between Russia and the United States. Both nations are facing the same enemy: a horde of murderous barbarians determined to assault civilization itself. Both nations shame a common interest: the total annihilation of said enemy. It seems only logical to me that both should come together to achieve that end.
The two nations can and should work together on the military, diplomatic, and intelligence fronts. Russia can support the United States the next time it is necessary to deal with a state-sponsor of terror and the United States can support Russia as it deals with various threats, most notably those emanating from Chechnya and Georgia. US and Russian Intelligence can jointly work against the scourge of weapons of mass destruction, especially the various nuclear materials scattered across the former Soviet Union. Where necessary, US and Russian units could go into battle together. Most importantly: both nations can do a great deal to solve the foremost foreign policy problems of the other. At this point the problem in Chechnya has grown to be of such dimensions that no moderate solution is possible: either Russia must withdraw or it must finish the job in that country. It cannot be the former, so it must be the latter. If Russia were to withdraw now, regardless as to the merits of the Chechen cause, it would be a devastating defeat for the West in the War on Terrorism. A Russian withdrawal now would embolden the terrorists, showing them that they can win: so long as they behave with sufficient levels of brutality. It would be a new Afghanistan: a unifying moment for the terrorists. A new myth of victory. All across the world, new terrorists would rally to the standard of veterans of the Chechen Jihad. Remember what I have said in the past: few people (if anyone) will offer their lives to the cause of a discredited fanatic hiding in a hole in the Earth. Thousands (and perhaps even millions) will rally to that of people who seem to be capable of bringing them victory. I have no firm opinion as to the justice of the Chechen cause. While I suppose that, prior to the start the war there, I might have had some sympathy for a group of people oppressed by an indifferent and far away government who merely sought freedom for themselves and their families, whatever residual sympathy I might have had is drained away by al-Qaeda’s involvement and the terrorist atrocities they have committed. In any case, the issues are broader and more fundamental than those localized to Chechnya. However it happened, the war there is linked to the broader War on Terrorism and therefore we must win it. How is Russia to do this? Certainly, it will not be easy. I can think of only a single plausible strategy at this point which does not involve the deliberate physical extermination of the entire population of the region. To put it simply: the Russians should wall them up. Smash every single target of any value in the area and then construct a physical wall in the area, cutting the Chechens off from the outside world. Allow no one in and no one out. Allowing nothing in, except for thoroughly inspected aid delivered from the outside world. Take the children young enough to not have been fully indoctrinated and pass them on to be raised by Russian families. Turn all of Chechnya into one giant internment camp. This is where the American alliance becomes critical. First: the United States can do a great deal to shield Russia from international reproach that goes beyond words. Second, the United States can claim the moral high ground by becoming the foremost provider of aid to the Chechen people. Some may claim that walling up an entire people is “evil” and “cruel.” I do not deny this. However, I will assert that it is a necessary and justifiable evil. Having determined that the present situation (a series of escalating attacks of almost unfathomable brutality) is untenable and having further realized that, for any num |